Election Year Stock Market, How Will The 2020 Election Affect The Stock Market Shotwell Rutter Baer
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Since 1929 the united states has had 14 recessions.
Presidential election november 3rd. Negative returns arose only four times in that period and each. Year to date the stock has accrued an astounding 764the market might be infatuated with techgrowthev stocks all boxes the company dubbed the chinese tesla ticks but its market performance. The stock market during election years.
Election day is a year away and stocks are poised to keep rising over the next 12 months with an incumbent in office that is if history is any indication. Historical returns of stocks and bonds during election years. If theres one thing the stock market doesnt like aside from bad earnings its uncertainty.
As of market close on august 17 th 2020 the sp 500 was up 468 year to date total return and bloomberg barclays us. When democrats control the congress and the presidency the market has risen an average of 296 a year but 521 with a democratic president and a republican congress. And none of those years saw stock market performance that exceeded the sp 500 average annual return.
As america ramps up for a contentious election day theres a good chance we wont know who wins until days or even weeks after november 3. This ushered in the great depression. Of the four years in a presidential cycle the first year performance of the stock market on average is the worst.
Stock market after elections. In the event of a contested result the stock market may. If you are worried about the uncertainty elections present and the fact that 2020 may be a presidential election year when we cant declare a winner on election.
The first year of a presidency is characterized by relatively weak performance in the stock market. The second year also sees historically below average performance. Data below is from dimensionals matrix book 2019.
According to a 2019 dimensional funds report the market has been positive in 19 of the last 23 election years spanning 1928 2016. The midterm election year.
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Another Stock Market Worry The Year Leading Up To A Presidential Election Tends To Be Below Average Marketwatch Presidential Election November 3rd
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