Election year stock market results Indeed recently has been sought by users around us, perhaps one of you personally. Individuals now are accustomed to using the net in gadgets to view video and image information for inspiration, and according to the name of this article I will discuss about Election Year Stock Market Results.
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Us election 2020 date schedule. The four year presidential market cycle is well known on wall street. Data below is from dimensionals matrix book 2019. Stock market performance thus far in 2019 has coincided with the presidential election cycle pattern.
The first year of a presidency is characterized by relatively weak performance in the stock market. Negative returns arose only four times in that period and each. Historical returns of stocks and bonds during election years.
Here are the market results for the sp 500 for every election year since 1928. The second year also sees historically below average performance. Of the four years in a presidential cycle the first year performance of the stock market on average is the worst.
I have studied the election cycle and its potential impact on the stock market for many years looking back to the 1850s. The stock market doesnt react well to uncertainty so its not surprising that stocks fell in 2000 when no clear winner emerged from the election. Election year stock market returns.
Tech stocks lead market rally as investors await election results nasdaq jumps 39 for best one day gain since april here were the main moves in markets as of 405 pm. During a presidential term markets do best in the third and fourth yearselection year and the year preceding it. As of market close on august 17 th 2020 the sp 500 was up 468 year to date total return and bloomberg barclays us.
Sp 500 annual stock market returns during election years. In the 23 four year presidential election cycles beginning in 1928 through this year the market failed to produce a gain only five times in the third year of the cycle 19311939 1947 2011 and 2015 which on average outperformed the other. The midterm election year.
Election day is a year away and stocks are poised to keep rising over the next 12 months with an incumbent in office that is if history is any indication.
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