Election Year Stock Market Performance, Election Cycle Turns Positive For Stocks Now Stock Market Advantage
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7 2000 and the end.
Presidential election guide. But external events may sometimes be correlated to stock returns for instance the 4 year election cycle in the us. When the sp. Data below is from dimensionals matrix book 2019.
According to a 2019 dimensional funds report the market has been positive in 19 of the last 23 election years spanning 1928 2016. Each series begins in the month of election and runs to the election of the next president. Stock market performance by president from election date this interactive chart shows the running percentage gain in the dow jones industrial average by presidential term.
Sp 500 344344 220 dow 2784766 134. Election year stock market returns here are the market results for the sp 500 for every election year since 1928. The rule of thumb.
Historical returns of stocks and bonds during election years. Only presidents who were elected as opposed to vps who stepped in are shown. Researchers at investment brokerage firm lpl financial state that the sp 500s performance has accurately predicted election winners 87 of the time since 1928.
Sp 500 annual stock market returns during election years. As of market close on august 17 th 2020 the sp 500 was up 468 year to date total return and bloomberg barclays us. Negative returns arose only four times in that period and each.
In fact a case could be made that general election years have correlated with positive market performance. Here are the market results for the sp 500 for every election year since 1928. Data below is from dimensionals matrix book 2019.
The stock market doesnt react well to uncertainty so its not surprising that stocks fell in 2000 when no clear winner emerged from the election. Between election day on nov.
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