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2020 election forecast how our forecast works.

House of lords general election. Nate silvers fivethirtyeight uses statistical analysis hard numbers to tell compelling stories about elections politics sports science economics and lifestyle. Nate silvers fivethirtyeight uses statistical analysis hard numbers to tell compelling stories about elections politics sports science economics and lifestyle. Nate silvers fivethirtyeight uses statistical analysis hard numbers to tell compelling stories about elections politics sports science economics and lifestyle.

By ryan best jay boice aaron bycoffe and nate silver. But what would happen if 2020 saw the same type of polling error as we saw in 2016. Weve added an electoral map that is derived from the fivethirtyeight 2020 election forecast that was released earlier this week.

Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day. Click or tap for an interactive version. Updated every two hours this is an electoral map projection derived from the fivethirtyeight 2020 election forecast.

Our forecast shows former vice president joe biden with a considerable lead. The map will update every two hours reflecting the then current probabilities for each state. The toss up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65 or higher chance of winning.

The abc news 2020 electoral map shows state by state votes on the path to win the 2020 presidential election. Explore the ways trump or biden could win the election pick the winner of each state to see how fivethirtyeights presidential forecast would change. A new map by nate.

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