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The stock market has given a key indication of who is going to win the us presidential election in 2020.
Us election market risk. Updated twice daily this is an electoral map projection based on the economists us presidential election forecast. Sweden germany and korea took the top 3 spots respectively while china was excluded from the survey. We use two metrics to measure states importance.
The economists us presidential election forecast. Trump expires to 1 if donald trump wins the 2020 us presidential general election and 0 otherwise. Prediction markets betfair predictit hypermind bookie oddschecker.
Bcas covid 19 social unrest rankings place the united states in 12 th place last behind greece spain and italy. In 2016 the sp 500 indicator had predicted that the incumbent party in the white housethe democratswould be replaced. A majority of stock market strategists polled by cnbc expect democratic candidate joe biden to win the us.
The sp 500 indicator has fallen 004 per cent in the period. 2020 presidential election david m rothschild on posted on march 12 2018 key data on this page includes. At the time of the article above each token was trading for 062.
With two days to go until the us presidential election the stock markets friday fall spells trouble for president donald trumps re election hopes. Since 1984 the stock market has correctly predicted the winner of each us presidential election according to ryan detrick a senior market strategist at lpl financial. With two days to go until the us presidential election a shift in the stock market has given a key indication of who is going to win.
The chance that a state will cast the decisive 270 th electoral vote for the victor. Realclearpolitics betting odds 2020 us. As the leftist pig hate media engages in cheap gutter sniping against president trump while endorsing clueless buffoon biden who is in the.
This meant that the odds are in favor 62 chance of trump being reelected according to ftx traders at that time. The toss up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65 or higher chance of winning. One is the tipping point probability.
The other is the chance that any single voter in a state will cast the decisive ballot that wins the tipping point state for the next president.
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