Us Presidential Election Effect On Stock Market, Here S How The Stock Market Has Performed Before During And After Presidential Elections
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Data on the standard poors stock index is available as far back as the 1928 election in which herbert hoover beat al smith.
Election polls employment. The stock market here refers to the sp 500 index. Charles schwab logically this pattern makes sense as incumbent politicians seek to stimulate the economy and markets to increase their odds of reelection though its not foolproof. History reveals the stock market more specifically the us benchmark dow jones index typically rises on average before during and after an election.
However the truth is that the presidents ability to impact the. Studies show that in the year where a republican is elected the stock markets total returns which includes dividends are above average while in the following year returns are below average. The effect of the election on stock prices is easy to measure.
While its impossible to say with certainty what 2020 presidential election will mean for the us stock market especially amidst the worst global pandemic in a century the historical record. Presidents get a lot of the blame and take a lot of the credit for the performance of the stock market while they are in office. How presidential elections affect the stock market every four years politics and finance converge as americans elect a president and investors try to figure out what the outcome means for their.
As the graphic below shows the us stock market has rallied more than 80 of the time during the fourth year of the presidential cycle. On the flip side when americans elect a democrat the election year returns are below average. The vast majority of investors 93 believe the presidential race will affect the stock market according to a recent survey from hartford funds an asset manager.
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