Us House Election Prediction, A House Divided Covid 19 And An Atmosphere Of Distrust Pose Grave Risks To America S Election Briefing The Economist

The chance that a state will cast the decisive 270 th electoral vote for the victor.

Election results 2020 electoral votes. Analysts have predicted that democrats will not only keep the house but have many opportunities to pick up seats. The non partisan cook political report predicts democrats may expand their majority. Ratings from senior elections editor steve shepard for every national contest from the 538 electoral college votes to the 435 house districts.

One is the tipping point probability. States as well as six non voting delegates from the district of columbia and the inhabited us. For purposes of this map only states rated safe by all four of these projections are shown in the.

Track the 2020 house elections here. The democratic party currently controls the us. Our model produces probabilistic forecasts so it estimates how likely each party is to win not just whether itll win.

Winners will be sworn in to serve in the 117th congress in early january 2021. A consensus outlook for the 2020 house elections based on the current ratings of sabatos crystal ball the cook political report and inside elections as well as the probabilistic fivethirtyeight model. Our high confidence projections have been over 99 percent accurate across four election cycles including being 100.

The forecast updates at least once a day and whenever we get a new poll. Summary of each compeititive race with links to polls and commentary. Updated tuesday november 03 2020.

2020 house election projections. On november 9 2018 fairvote projected the results of the 2020 elections. House where 218 seats are needed for control when.

The latest from politicos 2020 election forecast. See our full projections at our interactive map and on our interactive spreadsheet. Can the democrats retake the house in 2020.

We think democrats are in good position to retain control of the house. The 2020 united states house of representatives elections were held on november 3 2020 with special elections throughout the year. We use two metrics to measure states importance.

See how each partys forecasted seat total and chances of controlling the house have changed over time. Published 11192019 500 pm est updated 1122020 430 am edt as the national environment swung toward democrats their. The other is the chance that any single voter in a state will cast the decisive ballot that wins the tipping point state for the next president.

The biennial election for representatives from all 435 congressional districts will take place on november 3 2020.