Us Election Stock Market History, History On How Presidential Elections Affect Stock Markets Abc News
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I recently updated this study and took the history all the way back to the very first election in 1789 yes.
Election night online game. While its impossible to say with certainty what 2020 presidential election will mean for the us stock market especially amidst the worst global pandemic in a century the historical record. So much for my friends feared obama administration sell off. 8 2016 stocks as measured by the sp 500 appreciated 1533.
I have studied the election cycle and its potential impact on the stock market for many years looking back to the 1850s. 1 of the second year of a presidential term and sell on dec. Ed clissold chief us.
History when an incumbent president ran for reelection and the stock market was up more than 20 in the preceding three years. It was furthered by pepperdine professor marshall nickles in a paper called presidential elections and stock market cycles which presented data showing that a profitable strategy would be to invest on oct. And four years ago the stock market was telling those who would listen that this was a live possibility.
3 presidential election will impact the markets. 31 of year four. A stock market crash cleaved the value of the sp 500 nearly in half between january 1973 and october 1974 accompanied by double digit inflation and a 16 month recession that began in the fall of.
And ahead of the 2020 election stock market history again suggests the president will win. As of market close on august 17 th 2020 the sp 500 was up 468 year to date total return and bloomberg barclays us. Strategist for ned davis research breaks down the history of elections impact on markets.
But external events may sometimes be correlated to stock returns for instance the 4 year election cycle in the us. 4 2008 through election night nov. Long term history shows theres little difference in market returns based on which party is in the.
Many investors believe the outcome of the nov.
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