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Only maine at large 2 electoral votes and nebraskas 2nd district.
Us wall street journal prime rate. The 2020 map begins with florida in 2016 donald trump lost the popular vote to hillary clinton by roughly three million people but won 304 electoral votes and the presidency. Next select a state or states that you would like to see pledge its electoral votes to the national popular vote winner instead of the in state winner. If the election results in a 269 to 269 electoral vote tie then the house of representatives convenes to choose the president.
Toy us election simulator. Presidential election simulator. These are the states that had a lower than 3 margin in 2016 or switched from red to blueblue to red between 2008 and 2016.
How the swing o matic works. My aim for this code is to help shed some light on basic methods for aggregating national and state polls inferring electoral standings in states without a lot of data and. The code in this repo will generate the graphs and statistics i shared here.
Vote share turnout rep votes. Florida maine at large michigan minnesota nebraska 2nd district new hampshire pennsylvania wisconsin nevada indiana iowa north carolina ohio. We then adjusted the size of those groups based on four years of population change.
Presidential election simulator. The simulator is largely based on a data driven presidential model created by jhk forecasts. Select the run simulation button to conduct a simulated 2020 presidential election.
You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west based on actual poll closing times. The voting simulations rely on estimates that lean on the highest quality source available for turnout and vote preference of key groups at the national and state levels including the american. The abc news 2020 electoral map shows state by state votes on the path to win the 2020 presidential election.
When you adjust the vote and turnout above our model recalculates the results for each state as well as the electoral college outcome and the national. Adjust the turnout and two party vote to simulate 2016 presidential election scenarios. Using this simulator click or double click on states you expect to swing the next election.
The options for swing states are.
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